Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.216710 0.246193 0.277789 0.314120 0.354690 0.398548 0.449497
2026-02-01 0.174659 0.213615 0.258129 0.312583 0.377210 0.451264 0.542342
2026-02-08 0.144823 0.188916 0.242184 0.310895 0.396758 0.500056 0.633239
2026-02-15 0.122434 0.169276 0.228758 0.309181 0.414331 0.546300 0.723504
2026-02-22 0.108284 0.157736 0.223391 0.315932 0.441816 0.605718 0.833634
2026-03-01 0.094567 0.144682 0.214041 0.315645 0.458980 0.651957 0.928936
2026-03-08 0.083499 0.133740 0.206014 0.315717 0.475721 0.697786 1.025761
2026-03-15 0.074458 0.124518 0.199183 0.316324 0.492508 0.743944 1.125099
2026-03-22 0.067941 0.118270 0.195893 0.321430 0.515619 0.799850 1.240980
2026-03-29 0.063002 0.113874 0.194825 0.329484 0.543241 0.863455 1.371211
2026-04-05 0.057679 0.108174 0.191014 0.332642 0.563151 0.916242 1.487751
2026-04-12 0.053533 0.103969 0.189129 0.338506 0.587358 0.976511 1.618452
2026-04-19 0.050088 0.100768 0.188851 0.347364 0.617623 1.048982 1.773971
2026-04-26 0.045358 0.094670 0.182987 0.346184 0.631125 1.095528 1.891054
2026-05-03 0.041115 0.088974 0.177244 0.344612 0.643645 1.140935 2.008505
2026-05-10 0.037334 0.083710 0.171739 0.342885 0.655556 1.185712 2.126973
2026-05-17 0.035127 0.081340 0.171367 0.350385 0.684024 1.259597 2.297522
2026-05-24 0.032213 0.077145 0.167075 0.350119 0.698341 1.309829 2.430217
2026-05-31 0.029637 0.073355 0.163190 0.350226 0.713175 1.361497 2.567648
2026-06-07 0.027373 0.069971 0.159779 0.350907 0.728968 1.415459 2.711443
2026-06-14 0.025784 0.067922 0.158909 0.356524 0.754383 1.487802 2.891070
2026-06-21 0.024604 0.066688 0.159628 0.365371 0.786497 1.573799 3.099049
2026-06-28 0.023063 0.064398 0.157845 0.368841 0.808140 1.641372 3.276358